Key Macroeconomic Indicators Dynamics
Name | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Average Brent price (DTD) | 43.73 | 54.19 | 71.31 | 64.21 |
Inflation rate – Kazakhstan (%) | 8.50 % | 7.10 % | 5.00 % | 5.75 % |
Average exchange rate (KZT to 1 USD) | 342.16 | 326 | 344.71 | 382.75 |
The average Brent price in 2019 decreased by 10 % compared to the level of 2018. Besides fundamental economic factors (supply and demand), the oil market is extremely sensitive to geopolitical events. Currently, the oil market can be affected by several key geopolitical confrontations, both in the direction of increasing and decreasing oil prices: trade war between the USA and China, Brexit, sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, the US presidential election 2020, the Middle East (Syria, Yemen) instability, India – Pakistan armed conflict. .
Around 55 tln barrels of oil equivalent of hydrocarbon reserves have been discovered in the world. Existing technologies allow producing around 4.9 tln o.e. barrels. With advances in technology, by 2050, technically recoverable reserves can grow by 50 % – this is one of the reasons why Embamunaigas JSC place high emphasis on development of new technologies and innovations.
According to the RoK Ministry of Energy preliminary data, the volume of oil production in Kazakhstan in 2019 amounted to 90.4 mln tonnes. Thus, the record rates of 2018 were maintained, when production rates reached 90.36 mln tonnes. Maintaining high production rates is a significant achievement, given repairs carried out on large projects (Tengiz, Karachaganak and Kashagan).
By 2025, the annual oil production in Kazakhstan is expected to reach 105 mln tonnes, which will be ensured primarily by investment projects to expand and extend production at largest projects.
According to preliminary data, gas production in 2019 amounted to 56.3 bln cubic meters, or 1.4 % to 2018. According to the RoK Ministry of Energy, the volume of domestic gas consumption is annually growing at the level of 4–5 %. In 2019, domestic gas consumption amounted to 15.8 bln cubic meters (5 % increase as compared to 2018).
Oil production within Embamunaigas JSC, thous. tonnes
OGPO | 2014 Actual |
2015 Actual |
2016 Actual |
2017 Actual |
2018 Actual |
Plan | 2019 Actual |
Var. | 2020 Plan |
Zhaiykmunaigas OGPO | 962.6 | 960.3 | 954.2 | 953.7 | 944.2 | 922.0 | 923.3 | 1.3 | 881.0 |
Zhylyoimunaigas OGPO | 964.5 | 962.6 | 989.1 | 1,034.9 | 1,109.9 | 1,118.6 | 1,120.4 | 1.8 | 1,100.7 |
Dossormunaigas OGPO | 404.7 | 411.8 | 404.3 | 371.5 | 366.5 | 365.3 | 365.8 | 0.5 | 358.1 |
Kainarmunaigas OGPO | 490.9 | 488.4 | 484.4 | 479.9 | 474.8 | 489.1 | 490.2 | 1.1 | 480.2 |
Embamunaigas JSC | 2,822.7 | 2,823.0 | 2,832.0 | 2,840.0 | 2,895.3 | 2,895.0 | 2,899.7 | 4.7 | 2,820.0 |